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Projection assumptions and sources

A financial plan explores what could happen under chosen assumptions. The values below are the current starting defaults. Your saved plan can use different values, including choices made for an individual goal. Opening this page does not recalculate your plan.

Sources checked: · Next source review: .

Annual investment assumptions use effective compounding; loan EMI uses nominal annual interest divided by twelve. A return credited for one year or quarter does not promise the same return in future years. Tax, withdrawal eligibility and account-specific rules need a separate check.

Account estimates with and without dates

You can add account dates and payout details to your plan. Dated EPF and PPF estimates follow financial-year interest timing and the deposit details you supply. Dated NPS estimates use your sector, joining history, exit route and payout choice. Dated gratuity uses either the supported service-and-wage estimate or an employer amount you enter.

These details separate the account balance, any deductions, the month cash becomes available and later income. An annuity purchase is not spendable cash, and the planner does not invent pension income without an estimate from you. Eligibility, provider terms and estimated deductions still need your review.

Without account dates, new plans use simplified estimates: monthly EPF and NPS deposits, with EPF interest added after each twelve-month planning period and NPS using an effective monthly return. PPF deposits are assumed at the start of each planning year. An account can start at zero with planned deposits. These rolling-year estimates are not a fiscal-year passbook calculation.

Older plans retain the original method, which gives all EPF and NPS contributions a full year's growth. You can explicitly change the deposit method in Global Assumptions. An ordinary edit or reset keeps the plan's captured method. Enter only the employer amount credited to EPF; an EPS pension contribution is not an EPF balance.

The undated estimate stops EPF projection at age 58 and NPS at age 60, or the chosen retirement age if earlier, and uses the plan's captured NPS split, initially 60% lump sum and 40% annuity. That split is a model assumption, not a universal withdrawal rule. Adding dates and reviewing the result lets you plan with the supported account-specific choices; it does not authorize a withdrawal.

How retirement account estimates affect the savings target

New plans show the total retirement target, projected account capital, and the amount to fund with other savings separately. A planned bequest increases the total target before account estimates are deducted. The retirement simulation includes both that savings target and projected account capital, even when accounts cover the entire target.

The target-based simulation assumes the required starting savings are available. Without account dates, it also assumes the included account money is available at retirement. With dated account details, only available cash joins starting savings; later net receipts and supplied income follow their recorded months. A later payout cannot erase spending missed before it arrived.

The household funding review is a separate check of the supplied income, spending, accounts and goal payments. It tracks the money that can actually be funded under those inputs and records shortfalls. Read it alongside the savings schedule and retirement simulation: a target or a successful simulation does not prove you will reach the target or leave the intended bequest.

Older saved plans retain their original calculation. Choose “Updated total retirement funding” in Global Assumptions to preview and save the correction. Reset returns to the method captured when the plan was created; previous versions remain available in plan history.

Dated source records

Government approval: EPF 8.25% for FY 2024–25 (opens a new tab)

Ministry of Labour & Employment / PIB · Published 2025-12-30

Government approval reported · FY 2024–25

The government year-end review reports approval to credit 8.25% for this financial year. This does not prescribe a long-term projection return.

CBT recommendation: EPF 8.25% for FY 2025–26 (opens a new tab)

Ministry of Labour & Employment / PIB · Published 2026-03-02

Recommendation at publication · FY 2025–26

This March release records a recommendation. The separate July Akashvani report says the rate was subsequently notified; this earlier release alone does not establish that later decision.

Akashvani: EPFO notified 8.25% for FY 2025–26 (opens a new tab)

Akashvani News / Prasar Bharati · Published 2026-07-01

Government approval reported · FY 2025–26

The government broadcaster reports notification following Ministry approval and instructions to credit 8.25%. This is a news report, not the issuing circular: the original EPFO PDF could not be retrieved on 14 September 2026. It does not set a long-term projection return.

NSI: PPF 7.1% for July–September 2026 (opens a new tab)

National Savings Institute, Ministry of Finance

Official rate table verified · 1 July–30 September 2026 (FY 2026–27 Q2)

The official scheme table lists PPF at 7.1% for this quarter, checked on 14 September 2026. It does not guarantee the same rate in later quarters or throughout a long-term projection.

DEA: small-savings rates unchanged for July–September 2026 (opens a new tab)

Department of Economic Affairs · Published 2026-06-30

Primary notification verified · 1 July–30 September 2026 (FY 2026–27 Q2)

The 30 June memorandum keeps this quarter’s rates unchanged from April–June 2026. Its single page contains no numeric rate table; the separate NSI source supplies the PPF value.

PFRDA: NPS All Citizen Model FAQ (opens a new tab)

PFRDA

Market-linked product explanation · General product explanation; no fixed return period

NPS benefits depend on contributions, investment performance and annuity choices. The FAQ states that benefits are not assured and investments are subject to market conditions.

Current projection defaults

These values describe the planner's model. They are not official forecasts, guaranteed product returns or individualized advice.

Costs and income

General inflation6%

Used for general cost projections; individual goals may have a different rate.

Education inflation8%

Illustrative education-cost growth, not an official inflation forecast.

Wedding inflation7%

Illustrative growth in the entered wedding cost.

Property inflation8%

Illustrative property-price growth; location and property outcomes differ.

Healthcare inflation10%

Illustrative healthcare-cost growth.

Living-expense inflation6%

Used where the model projects recurring living expenses.

Rent inflation6%

Illustrative annual rent growth.

Health-premium inflation6%

Illustrative premium growth, not an insurer quote.

Income growth6%

Illustrative annual income growth while working; not a promised salary increase.

Investment projections

Long-horizon investment return12%

Effective annual investment return above the policy horizon threshold. Actual outcomes vary.

Short-horizon investment return9.5%

Effective annual investment return at or below the policy horizon threshold. Capital is not guaranteed.

Lower-return illustration8%

A model assumption; the label does not mean risk-free.

Higher-return illustration14%

A model assumption; it is not a forecast or an available product yield.

Equity volatility15%

Annual variation assumed by the simulation. Simulation results depend on this model.

Retirement bond-bucket return6.5%

A model assumption, not a quoted or guaranteed bond yield.

Retirement equity-bucket return12%

A model assumption, not a forecast.

Retirement blended return9.5%

Model input used to size a retirement corpus; actual bucket performance can differ.

Baseline withdrawal assumption4%

A starting model rule; it does not establish that withdrawals are safe. The selected retirement strategy can use a different rate.

Loans

Home-loan interest8.5%

Illustrative nominal annual interest for EMI calculations. Use the terms of the actual loan when comparing plans.

Retirement accounts

EPF projection return8.15%

The preserved long-term projection assumption is not a statement of the currently notified EPF rate. An annual crediting rate does not promise the same rate in future years.

Related source record 1 · Related source record 2 · Related source record 3

PPF projection return7.1%

The preserved long-term projection assumption is not a promise for the full account term. Check the applicable quarter and account rules.

Related source record 1 · Related source record 2

NPS equity projection return12%

Market-linked illustration for the equity allocation; neither the regulator nor the fund guarantees this return.

Related source record 1

NPS corporate-bond projection return9%

Market-linked illustration for the corporate-bond allocation; this is not a guaranteed coupon.

Related source record 1

NPS government-bond projection return8%

Market-linked illustration for the government-bond allocation; scheme values can fluctuate.

Related source record 1

Gratuity salary-growth assumption6%

Illustrative salary growth used for the gratuity estimate. Eligibility, salary definition and employer terms require a separate check.

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